Tuesday, June 11, 2013

Preview of Tuesday's CONCACAF Action

Team
Pld
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
4
2
1
1
5
3
+2
7
4
2
1
1
4
3
+1
7
5
1
4
0
3
2
+1
7
4
1
3
0
5
3
+2
6
4
1
1
2
4
6
−2
4
5
0
2
3
2
6
−4
2
(Wikipedia.org)

This is what the hex looks like as we near the halfway point. The results of tonight’s matches will have major bearing on how each team feels about their qualification chances going forward.

8:00| Mexico v. Costa Rica| Estadio Azteca| ESPN
Mexico expect three points every time they step on the field at Azteca. The surprising thing is that they have yet to manage a home victory in this round of qualifying, playing to scoreless draws against both Jamaica and the US. El Tri will be looking to restore balance to the universe by re-establishing what is typically a three-point -fortress for them. A draw or loss would not be lethal for Mexico, but it would be a real setback considering they have played one more game than the other teams (with the exception of floundering Jamaica) and will be sitting out the next matchday.  

Costa Rica on the other hand would be thrilled to repeat the Azteca performances of Jamaica and the US and escape with a draw. Los Ticos have positioned themselves well through the first four matches of the hex. They could absorb a loss at Azteca and still be in could shape. A draw or, Chicharito forbid, a win at Azteca would have Costa Rica sitting pretty to cruise to World Cup qualification.
Prediction: 1-0 win for Mexico

9:00|Honduras v. Jamaica| Estadio Tiburcio CarĂ­as Andino
This match has the makings of a wide open affair as both teams are in desperate need of a win. Honduras have been poor on the road and are at risk of slipping into a big hole if they drop points in this one. Jamaica have already all but played themselves out of contention for World Cup 2014. A string of poor home results leaves the Reggae Boys on the brink of elimination. Realistically they are a very long shot to get in at this point, but a win would at least allow Jamaica to keep things interesting for a while longer.
Prediction: 2-1 win for Honduras

10:00|USA v. Panama|Century Link Field| ESPN
The US is in a good position through four games of hexagonal play. They emerged from the toughest part of their schedule with seven points to their name. A decent performance saw the US capture their first ever win in Jamaica last time out. Despite that positive result there are real concerns for the Americans heading into this game.

A head injury to Jermaine Jones and a suspension to Graham Zusi due to yellow card accumulation mean that the US will need to scrounge for replacements for two key players in the Jamaica win. Zusi played well on the right side, setting up Jozy Altidore’s 30th minute goal. Jermaine Jones was his typical self, breaking up opposition attacks in the midfield and providing a shield to a back that has been repeatedly exposed as fragile.

The inexperienced (with one obvious exception) backline of Beasley-Besler-Gonzalez-Evans that we are likely to see has done anything but look solid. In the same vein, Tim Howard has been rather mediocre during this recent stint of games. It would be nice to see a vintage Howard performance tonight and watch him make some big saves to preserve a clean sheet (though it would be nicer if he didn’t have to).

Joe Corona seems to be a possible candidate to replace Zusi out on the right. Corona is a talented player who I think does have much potential, but the fact remains that he has almost no experience on the international stage. With Corona only having three caps to his name, it is uncertain whether Klinsmann will have the confidence in him to choose him for this type of game. Personally I am in favor of seeing Corona either on the right or in the center because he brings creativity to the pitch that can help put players like Dempsey and Altidore in scoring positions.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Geoff Cameron reprise the CM role he took on in Jamaica tonight in place of Jones. I hope I am wrong about that, because I hate the idea of playing five defenders at home against inferior opposition. Nothing against Cameron, but Klinsmann needs to be more ambitious than that in this game. As I mentioned in my previous article I would love to see Stuart Holden in the center of the midfield for this game. He can help the attack in a manner similar to Corona, and attacking should be the focus of this lineup.

The success that the US will or will not have tonight really hinges on the performances of Altidore, Bradley, and Dempsey. All three players have been playing well recently and if they continue with their good form the US will come out on top.

Panama remains unbeaten in the hexagonal, however it must be noted that they have played three games at home and one at hapless Jamaica. Panama would surely be satisfied with a draw in this game and would be thrilled with a win. I expect to see a very defensive approach from Panama as they play for the draw. If the US can crack the Panamanian defense the game will open up, which could be a dangerous proposition for either team.


Prediction: Altidore, Bradley, and Demspsey come through and the US gets a 2-1 win.

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